PDIP and Gerindra Votes Decrease

SMRC research director Deni Irvani said the SMRC survey results showed that if elections were held now, the PDI-P would get 22.1 percent of the votes, down from the March 2020 survey results of 25.9 percent.

Meanwhile, Gerindra received support of 9.9 percent, a decrease compared to the March 2020 survey of 13.6 percent. The survey involved 981 respondents on September 15-21 2021 with an error rate of approximately 3.19 percent.

Deni Irvani added that this condition is different from a number of other parties that have strengthened such as Golkar, PKB, Democrats, PKS, and Nasdem. “Meanwhile, Golkar in March 2020 was 8.4 percent, and in September 2021 it was 11.3 percent or a slight increase,” said Deni Irvani in an online press conference, Thursday (7/10/2021).

SMRC: Public Support for Ganjar and Anies Naik

Deni Irvani added that public support for Prabowo Subianto to become president has decreased. Meanwhile, Ganjar Pranowo and Anies Baswedan experienced an increase in public support.

Graphics SMRC.

Graphics SMRC.

Prabowo received 18.1 percent support, followed by Ganjar Pranowo 15.8 percent and Anies Baswedan 11.1 percent. While Sandiaga Uno got 4.8 percent, and other names under 4 percent.

“Ganjar Pranowo’s support increased from 6.9 percent in March 2020 to 15.8 percent. Prabowo Subianto from 19.5 percent to 18.1 percent,” he added.

This survey also shows that Ganjar Pranowo and Anies Baswedan are expected to get the first and second most votes if they become presidential candidates in 2024.

Gerindra deputy head Rahayu Saraswati said the results of the SMRC survey would be used as material for evaluation by the Gerindra Party. However, according to him, this decline is not surprising because the vote gains from the Gerindra survey have fluctuated.

Governor Ganjar Pranowo sowan and vlog with PDI-P General Chair Megawati Sukarno Putri in Jakarta.  (Photo: Video-screenshot/Ganjar Pranowo)

Governor Ganjar Pranowo sowan and vlog with PDI-P General Chair Megawati Sukarno Putri in Jakarta. (Photo: Video-screenshot/Ganjar Pranowo)

“This survey is still very limited with 981 respondents. So this is an illustration and a reminder. But once again we are sure that Gerindra will be consistent and solid,” explained Rahayu.

Rahayu added that this survey also did not measure pairs of candidates or vice presidents and party coalitions. According to him, vice presidential candidates and coalitions will affect the electability of presidential candidates. However, said Rahayu, Gerindra has not discussed this issue because it is still far from the 2024 election.

Graphics SMRC.

Graphics SMRC.

PDI-P politician Andreas Hugo Pareira said support for his party is still the highest compared to other parties, although it has decreased. In addition, the PDI-P is the party with the highest number of votes in the 2019 election, so it will determine the presidential candidate.

“The current presidential factor will also determine the next presidential candidate, especially from the performance of the current government travel process,” explained Andreas.

Andreas added that the survey results also benefited the PDI-P because most of the presidential candidates came from his party. Among others, Ganjar Pranowo, Puan Maharani, and Tri Rismaharini. This choice will also make it easier for parties to choose candidates for joint support. [sm/em]

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